Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Fiorentina xG
Expected goals
3
Como xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
17%
0–3
17%
0–4
12%
0–1
11%
0–5
7%
1–2
5%
Home
Fiorentina
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.2 / 2.9
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Como
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Como?
Como is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fiorentina's current form?
Fiorentina have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Fiorentina won 2, drew 0, and Como won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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