Adelaide United FCvs
Central Coast Mariners FC
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected goals
1.6
Central Coast Mariners FC xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
9%
1–2
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
6%
1–0
6%
Home
Adelaide United FC
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 3.1
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Central Coast Mariners FC
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Adelaide United FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC?
Adelaide United FC is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Adelaide United FC's current form?
Adelaide United FC have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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