⚡ Match Analysis
Adelaide United vs Auckland Fc
🇦🇺 A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
40%
38%
22%
Adelaide United winDrawAuckland FC win
Key Stats
1.80Points per game1.20
1.83Avg goals scored1.46
1.14Avg goals conceded1.26
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Adelaide United xG
Expected goals
1.1
Auckland FC xG
56%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–0
10%
2–1
10%
2–0
9%
0–0
6%
0–1
6%
Home
Adelaide United
DWWDD
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Auckland FC
DWDLD
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings
Adelaide Unitedall timeAuckland Fc
4D
1W
9 May 26
Auckland FC1–1Adelaide United
3 Apr 26
Adelaide United1–1Auckland FC
1 Nov 25
Auckland FC2–1Adelaide United
1 Mar 25
Auckland FC4–4Adelaide United
22 Jan 25
Adelaide United2–2Auckland FC
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Adelaide United vs Auckland Fc?
Adelaide United is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Adelaide United's current form?
Adelaide United have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 5 A-League meetings, Adelaide United won 0, drew 4, and Auckland Fc won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Adelaide United Win40%
Draw38%
Auckland FC Win22%
BTTS56%
Over 2.555%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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