Adelaide Unitedvs
Newcastle Jets
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Adelaide United xG
Expected goals
2
Newcastle Jets xG
78%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
Home
Adelaide United
Away
Newcastle Jets
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets?
Adelaide United is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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