🇦🇺 A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Auckland FC xG
Expected goals
1.5
Adelaide United xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–2
9%
1–0
8%
2–1
8%
0–2
7%
Home
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings
Who is favored to win Auckland Fc vs Adelaide United?
Adelaide United is favored with a 32% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Auckland Fc's current form?
Auckland Fc have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 5 A-League meetings, Auckland Fc won 1, drew 4, and Adelaide United won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from A-League