Match Analysis

Auckland FCvsAdelaide United FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
21%
26%
Auckland FC winDrawAdelaide United FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
1.93Avg goals scored0.47
2.34Avg goals conceded3.06
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Auckland FC xG

Expected goals

1.5

Adelaide United FC xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Adelaide United FC

Adelaide United FC

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 3.1

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Auckland FC vs Adelaide United FC?

Auckland FC is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Auckland FC's current form?

Auckland FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Auckland FC Win53%
Draw21%
Adelaide United FC Win26%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%