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PaceScore/🇦🇺 A-League/Auckland Fc vs Sydney Fc
⚡ Match Analysis

Auckland Fc vs Sydney Fc

🇦🇺 A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
39%
18%
Auckland FC winDrawSydney FC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.67Avg goals scored1.04
1.08Avg goals conceded0.89
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Auckland FC xG

Expected goals

0.7

Sydney FC xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

18%

0–0

17%

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

2–0

10%

2–1

7%

Home

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

WDWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings

Auckland Fcall timeSydney Fc
2W
3D
26 Apr 26
Sydney FC2–2Auckland FC
17 Feb 26
Sydney FC1–1Auckland FC
7 Feb 26
Auckland FC1–0Sydney FC
12 Apr 25
Sydney FC2–2Auckland FC
27 Oct 24
Auckland FC1–0Sydney FC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Auckland Fc vs Sydney Fc?

Auckland FC is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Auckland Fc's current form?

Auckland Fc have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 5 A-League meetings, Auckland Fc won 2, drew 3, and Sydney Fc won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Auckland FC Win43%
Draw39%
Sydney FC Win18%
BTTS34%
Over 2.527%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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More from A-League

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