Match Analysis

Brisbane Roar FCvsPerth Glory FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
18%
15%
Brisbane Roar FC winDrawPerth Glory FC win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.80
0.00Avg goals scored1.00
0.00Avg goals conceded2.00
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected goals

1

Perth Glory FC xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $78K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Brisbane Roar FC
67%
21%
+46%
Draw
18%
—
—
Perth Glory FC
15%
79%
-64%
Trade on Polymarket →

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Brisbane Roar FC

Brisbane Roar FC

LLDDL

PPG

0.40

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Perth Glory FC

Perth Glory FC

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brisbane Roar Fc vs Perth Glory Fc?

Brisbane Roar FC is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brisbane Roar Fc's current form?

Brisbane Roar Fc have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brisbane Roar FC Win67%
Draw18%
Perth Glory FC Win15%
BTTS57%
Over 2.564%