Central Coast Mariners FCvs
Melbourne City FC
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Central Coast Mariners FC xG
Expected goals
1.7
Melbourne City FC xG
63%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
0–1
7%
2–2
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Central Coast Mariners FC
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Melbourne City FC
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Central Coast Mariners FC vs Melbourne City FC?
Melbourne City FC is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Central Coast Mariners FC's current form?
Central Coast Mariners FC have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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