Match Analysis

Macarthur FCvsMelbourne City FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

91%
6%
3%
Macarthur FC winDrawMelbourne City FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
2.00Avg goals scored1.00
1.00Avg goals conceded3.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Macarthur FC xG

Expected goals

0.7

Melbourne City FC xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

10%

4–0

10%

5–0

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

Home

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City FC?

Macarthur FC is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Macarthur FC's current form?

Macarthur FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Macarthur FC Win91%
Draw6%
Melbourne City FC Win3%
BTTS49%
Over 2.585%