Match Analysis

Macarthur FCvsPerth Glory FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
23%
28%
Macarthur FC winDrawPerth Glory FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.47Avg goals scored1.00
1.00Avg goals conceded2.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Macarthur FC xG

Expected goals

1.3

Perth Glory FC xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Perth Glory FC

Perth Glory FC

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory FC?

Macarthur FC is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Macarthur FC's current form?

Macarthur FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Macarthur FC Win49%
Draw23%
Perth Glory FC Win28%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%