Match Analysis

Melbourne City FCvsAuckland FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
22%
33%
Melbourne City FC winDrawAuckland FC win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
1.37Avg goals scored1.93
1.59Avg goals conceded2.34
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Melbourne City FC xG

Expected goals

1.6

Auckland FC xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

3–1

6%

Home

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

WDLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne City FC vs Auckland FC?

Melbourne City FC is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Melbourne City FC's current form?

Melbourne City FC have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Melbourne City FC Win45%
Draw22%
Auckland FC Win33%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%