Match Analysis

Melbourne City FCvsWestern Sydney Wanderers

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
22%
11%
Melbourne City FC winDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.20
0.00Avg goals scored0.00
0.00Avg goals conceded0.00
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Melbourne City FC xG

Expected goals

0.5

Western Sydney Wanderers xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

19%

2–0

16%

0–0

11%

1–1

9%

3–0

9%

2–1

8%

Home

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Western Sydney Wanderers

Western Sydney Wanderers

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Melbourne City FC is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Melbourne City FC's current form?

Melbourne City FC have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

PPG fallback model · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Melbourne City FC Win67%
Draw22%
Western Sydney Wanderers Win11%
BTTS32%
Over 2.538%