Match Analysis

Melbourne VictoryvsCentral Coast Mariners FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
17%
63%
Melbourne Victory winDrawCentral Coast Mariners FC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
1.00Avg goals scored2.00
2.00Avg goals conceded2.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Melbourne Victory xG

Expected goals

2.9

Central Coast Mariners FC xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

0–2

5%

0–3

5%

Home

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

DWDLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Central Coast Mariners FC

Central Coast Mariners FC

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Fc?

Central Coast Mariners FC is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Melbourne Victory's current form?

Melbourne Victory have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Melbourne Victory Win20%
Draw17%
Central Coast Mariners FC Win63%
BTTS75%
Over 2.583%