โšก Match Analysis

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Fc

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
29%
36%
Melbourne Victory winDrawMelbourne City FC win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
1.49Avg goals scored1.81
1.13Avg goals conceded1.07
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“0โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Melbourne Victory xG

Expected goals

1.4

Melbourne City FC xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

12%

0โ€“1

9%

1โ€“0

9%

1โ€“2

9%

2โ€“1

8%

0โ€“0

7%

Home

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

LWDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 10 meetings

Melbourne Victoryall timeMelbourne City Fc
4W
4D
2W
21 Feb 26
Melbourne City FC1โ€“3Melbourne Victory
20 Dec 25
Melbourne City FC0โ€“1Melbourne Victory
8 Nov 25
Melbourne Victory0โ€“2Melbourne City FC
31 May 25
Melbourne City FC1โ€“0Melbourne Victory
22 Feb 25
Melbourne Victory2โ€“2Melbourne City FC
21 Dec 24
Melbourne Victory1โ€“1Melbourne City FC
26 Oct 24
Melbourne City FC1โ€“3Melbourne Victory
5 May 24
Melbourne Victory1โ€“1Melbourne City FC
6 Apr 24
Melbourne Victory2โ€“1Melbourne City FC
17 Feb 24
Melbourne City FC0โ€“0Melbourne Victory

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Fc?

Melbourne City FC is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Melbourne Victory's current form?

Melbourne Victory have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 10 A-League meetings, Melbourne Victory won 4, drew 4, and Melbourne City Fc won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 10 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Melbourne Victory Win35%
Draw29%
Melbourne City FC Win36%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%

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