Match Analysis

Melbourne City FCvsNewcastle Jets

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
24%
17%
Melbourne City FC winDrawNewcastle Jets win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
0.00Avg goals scored0.00
0.00Avg goals conceded0.00
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Melbourne City FC xG

Expected goals

0.8

Newcastle Jets xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

2–0

12%

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

0–1

7%

Home

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets?

Melbourne City FC is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Melbourne Victory's current form?

Melbourne Victory have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

PPG fallback model · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Melbourne City FC Win59%
Draw24%
Newcastle Jets Win17%
BTTS45%
Over 2.546%