Melbourne City FCvs
Newcastle Jets
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Melbourne City FC xG
Expected goals
0.8
Newcastle Jets xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
14%
2–0
12%
1–1
11%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
0–1
7%
Home
Melbourne City FC
PPG
1.80
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Newcastle Jets
PPG
1.00
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets?
Melbourne City FC is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Melbourne Victory's current form?
Melbourne Victory have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
PPG fallback model · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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