Match Analysis

Melbourne VictoryvsPerth Glory FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
24%
40%
Melbourne Victory winDrawPerth Glory FC win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
1.00Avg goals scored2.14
1.30Avg goals conceded1.24
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Melbourne Victory xG

Expected goals

1.6

Perth Glory FC xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

LDLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Perth Glory FC

Perth Glory FC

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory FC?

Perth Glory FC is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Melbourne Victory's current form?

Melbourne Victory have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Melbourne Victory Win36%
Draw24%
Perth Glory FC Win40%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%