Melbourne Victoryvs
Wellington Phoenix
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Melbourne Victory xG
Expected goals
1.6
Wellington Phoenix xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
0–1
9%
1–2
9%
0–2
7%
1–0
7%
2–1
7%
Home
Melbourne Victory
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Wellington Phoenix
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.3
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?
Wellington Phoenix is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Melbourne Victory's current form?
Melbourne Victory have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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