⚡ Match Analysis
Newcastle Jets vs Sydney Fc
🇦🇺 A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
46%
28%
26%
Newcastle Jets winDrawSydney FC win
Key Stats
1.20Points per game1.80
1.96Avg goals scored1.05
1.14Avg goals conceded0.87
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Newcastle Jets xG
Expected goals
0.8
Sydney FC xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
16%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
0–1
10%
2–0
10%
2–1
8%
Home
Newcastle Jets
DWDDL
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.1
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Sydney FC
DWDDW
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 8 meetings
Newcastle Jetsall timeSydney Fc
3W
2D
3W
9 May 26
Sydney FC1–1Newcastle Jets
22 Mar 26
Sydney FC1–2Newcastle Jets
20 Dec 25
Newcastle Jets2–0Sydney FC
1 Nov 25
Newcastle Jets1–4Sydney FC
20 Apr 25
Sydney FC3–2Newcastle Jets
4 Jan 25
Newcastle Jets2–2Sydney FC
7 Apr 24
Newcastle Jets3–1Sydney FC
19 Jan 24
Sydney FC4–0Newcastle Jets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Newcastle Jets vs Sydney Fc?
Newcastle Jets is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Newcastle Jets's current form?
Newcastle Jets have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 8 A-League meetings, Newcastle Jets won 3, drew 2, and Sydney Fc won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 8 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Newcastle Jets Win46%
Draw28%
Sydney FC Win26%
BTTS40%
Over 2.535%
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from A-League