Newcastle Jetsvs
Wellington Phoenix
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Newcastle Jets xG
Expected goals
2.8
Wellington Phoenix xG
75%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–3
7%
1–1
6%
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
0–2
5%
Home
Newcastle Jets
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Wellington Phoenix
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
Wellington Phoenix is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Newcastle Jets's current form?
Newcastle Jets have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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