Match Analysis

Perth GloryvsMelbourne City FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
18%
21%
Perth Glory winDrawMelbourne City FC win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
1.00Avg goals scored1.00
2.00Avg goals conceded3.00
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Perth Glory xG

Expected goals

1.5

Melbourne City FC xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

7%

3–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Perth Glory

Perth Glory

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Perth Glory vs Melbourne City FC?

Perth Glory is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Perth Glory's current form?

Perth Glory have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Perth Glory Win61%
Draw18%
Melbourne City FC Win21%
BTTS71%
Over 2.576%