โšก Match Analysis

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
33%
29%
Perth Glory winDrawNewcastle Jets win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
1.61Avg goals scored1.78
0.95Avg goals conceded1.19
2โ€“3โ€“0Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“3โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Perth Glory xG

Expected goals

1.2

Newcastle Jets xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

12%

1โ€“0

10%

2โ€“1

9%

0โ€“1

8%

2โ€“0

8%

0โ€“0

7%

Home

Perth Glory

Perth Glory

WDWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

LDWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 7 meetings

Perth Gloryall timeNewcastle Jets
1W
4D
2W
13 Feb 26
Perth Glory1โ€“3Newcastle Jets
23 Nov 25
Newcastle Jets1โ€“2Perth Glory
25 Jan 25
Newcastle Jets2โ€“2Perth Glory
14 Dec 24
Perth Glory0โ€“4Newcastle Jets
9 Mar 24
Perth Glory2โ€“2Newcastle Jets
16 Dec 23
Newcastle Jets2โ€“2Perth Glory
22 Oct 23
Perth Glory2โ€“2Newcastle Jets

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?

Perth Glory is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Perth Glory's current form?

Perth Glory have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 A-League meetings, Perth Glory won 1, drew 4, and Newcastle Jets won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 7 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Perth Glory Win38%
Draw33%
Newcastle Jets Win29%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š