Match Analysis

Sydney FCvsMacarthur FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
27%
34%
Sydney FC winDrawMacarthur FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.05Avg goals scored0.92
1.08Avg goals conceded0.63
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Sydney FC xG

Expected goals

1.2

Macarthur FC xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sydney FC vs Macarthur FC?

Sydney FC is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sydney FC's current form?

Sydney FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sydney FC Win39%
Draw27%
Macarthur FC Win34%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%