⚡ Match Analysis
Sydney Fc vs Newcastle Jets
🇦🇺 A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
31%
29%
40%
Sydney FC winDrawNewcastle Jets win
Key Stats
1.80Points per game1.20
1.05Avg goals scored1.96
0.88Avg goals conceded1.13
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Sydney FC xG
Expected goals
1.1
Newcastle Jets xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
15%
0–0
14%
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–2
8%
1–2
7%
Home
Sydney FC
DWDDW
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Newcastle Jets
DWDDL
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.1
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 8 meetings
Sydney Fcall timeNewcastle Jets
3W
2D
3W
9 May 26
Sydney FC1–1Newcastle Jets
22 Mar 26
Sydney FC1–2Newcastle Jets
20 Dec 25
Newcastle Jets2–0Sydney FC
1 Nov 25
Newcastle Jets1–4Sydney FC
20 Apr 25
Sydney FC3–2Newcastle Jets
4 Jan 25
Newcastle Jets2–2Sydney FC
7 Apr 24
Newcastle Jets3–1Sydney FC
19 Jan 24
Sydney FC4–0Newcastle Jets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sydney Fc vs Newcastle Jets?
Newcastle Jets is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sydney Fc's current form?
Sydney Fc have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 8 A-League meetings, Sydney Fc won 3, drew 2, and Newcastle Jets won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 8 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Sydney FC Win31%
Draw29%
Newcastle Jets Win40%
BTTS40%
Over 2.532%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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