Match Analysis

Wellington Phoenix FCvsCentral Coast Mariners FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

73%
14%
13%
Wellington Phoenix FC winDrawCentral Coast Mariners FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
2.00Avg goals scored2.00
1.00Avg goals conceded2.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.3

Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected goals

1.4

Central Coast Mariners FC xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

8%

2–1

7%

4–1

6%

2–0

5%

2–2

5%

3–0

5%

Home

Wellington Phoenix FC

Wellington Phoenix FC

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Central Coast Mariners FC

Central Coast Mariners FC

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Wellington Phoenix FC vs Central Coast Mariners Fc?

Wellington Phoenix FC is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Wellington Phoenix FC's current form?

Wellington Phoenix FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Wellington Phoenix FC Win73%
Draw14%
Central Coast Mariners FC Win13%
BTTS73%
Over 2.585%