Wellington Phoenix Fc vs Macarthur Fc
🇦🇺 A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected goals
3.7
Macarthur FC xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
8%
0–3
7%
1–4
7%
0–2
6%
0–4
6%
1–2
6%
Home
Wellington Phoenix FC
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.4
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Macarthur FC
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Wellington Phoenix Fc vs Macarthur Fc?
Macarthur FC is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Wellington Phoenix Fc's current form?
Wellington Phoenix Fc have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 7 A-League meetings, Wellington Phoenix Fc won 4, drew 0, and Macarthur Fc won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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