Match Analysis

Wellington PhoenixvsAuckland FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
21%
26%
Wellington Phoenix winDrawAuckland FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
2.00Avg goals scored2.47
0.47Avg goals conceded3.12
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Wellington Phoenix xG

Expected goals

1.5

Auckland FC xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 3.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland FC?

Wellington Phoenix is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Wellington Phoenix's current form?

Wellington Phoenix have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Wellington Phoenix Win53%
Draw21%
Auckland FC Win26%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%