Match Analysis

Wellington PhoenixvsCentral Coast Mariners FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

73%
14%
13%
Wellington Phoenix winDrawCentral Coast Mariners FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
2.00Avg goals scored2.00
1.00Avg goals conceded2.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.2

Wellington Phoenix xG

Expected goals

1.4

Central Coast Mariners FC xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

8%

2–1

7%

4–1

6%

1–1

5%

2–0

5%

2–2

5%

Home

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Central Coast Mariners FC

Central Coast Mariners FC

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Fc?

Wellington Phoenix is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Wellington Phoenix's current form?

Wellington Phoenix have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Wellington Phoenix Win73%
Draw14%
Central Coast Mariners FC Win13%
BTTS72%
Over 2.584%