Wellington Phoenixvs
Newcastle Jets
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Wellington Phoenix xG
Expected goals
1
Newcastle Jets xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–1
9%
3–0
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Wellington Phoenix
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.3
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Newcastle Jets
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets?
Wellington Phoenix is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Wellington Phoenix's current form?
Wellington Phoenix have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from A-League