Match Analysis

Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
26%
33%
Athletico-PR winDrawAtlético-MG win

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Athletico-PR xG

Expected goals

1.3

Atlético-MG xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Athletico-PR

No data

Away

Atlético-MG

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Athletico-PR Win41%
Draw26%
Atlético-MG Win33%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%