Match Analysis

Athletico-PRvsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
20%
40%
Athletico-PR winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.40
2.00Avg goals scored1.77
1.65Avg goals conceded1.26
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Athletico-PR xG

Expected goals

2.2

Bahia xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

WDLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Athletico-PR vs Bahia?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Athletico-PR's current form?

Athletico-PR have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Athletico-PR Win40%
Draw20%
Bahia Win40%
BTTS79%
Over 2.581%