Athletico-PRvs
São Paulo
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Athletico-PR xG
Expected goals
1.1
São Paulo xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
10%
2–0
9%
1–0
8%
1–1
8%
3–0
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Athletico-PR
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
São Paulo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletico-PR vs São Paulo?
Athletico-PR is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletico-PR's current form?
Athletico-PR have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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