Match Analysis

Athletico-PRvsSão Paulo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
19%
17%
Athletico-PR winDrawSão Paulo win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
2.00Avg goals scored0.84
1.71Avg goals conceded1.30
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Athletico-PR xG

Expected goals

1.1

São Paulo xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

1–0

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

São Paulo

São Paulo

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Athletico-PR vs São Paulo?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Athletico-PR's current form?

Athletico-PR have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Athletico-PR Win64%
Draw19%
São Paulo Win17%
BTTS60%
Over 2.566%