Match Analysis

Athletico-PRvsVasco da Gama

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
20%
43%
Athletico-PR winDrawVasco da Gama win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.20
2.00Avg goals scored1.66
1.71Avg goals conceded1.15
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Athletico-PR xG

Expected goals

2.1

Vasco da Gama xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama?

Vasco da Gama is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Athletico-PR's current form?

Athletico-PR have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Athletico-PR Win37%
Draw20%
Vasco da Gama Win43%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%