Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

77%
14%
9%
Atlético-MG winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.44Avg goals scored1.40
0.84Avg goals conceded2.21
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

0.9

Coritiba xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

6%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Coritiba?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win77%
Draw14%
Coritiba Win9%
BTTS56%
Over 2.571%