Atlético-MGvs
Coritiba
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Atlético-MG xG
Expected goals
0.9
Coritiba xG
56%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
10%
2–1
9%
3–0
9%
3–1
8%
1–0
7%
1–1
6%
Home
Atlético-MG
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Coritiba
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Coritiba?
Atlético-MG is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atlético-MG's current form?
Atlético-MG have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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