Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsCruzeiro

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
27%
34%
Atlético-MG winDrawCruzeiro win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.44Avg goals scored1.93
0.84Avg goals conceded1.07
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

1.2

Cruzeiro xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win39%
Draw27%
Cruzeiro Win34%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%