Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsRed Bull Bragantino

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
23%
13%
Atlético-MG winDrawRed Bull Bragantino win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.40
1.53Avg goals scored0.84
1.02Avg goals conceded1.33
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

0.6

Red Bull Bragantino xG

37%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

17%

2–0

14%

0–0

10%

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win64%
Draw23%
Red Bull Bragantino Win13%
BTTS37%
Over 2.540%