Atlético-MGvs
Vasco da Gama
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Atlético-MG xG
Expected goals
1.3
Vasco da Gama xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
0–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–0
7%
Home
Atlético-MG
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Vasco da Gama
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Vasco da Gama?
Atlético-MG is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atlético-MG's current form?
Atlético-MG have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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