Match Analysis

BahiavsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
12%
12%
Bahia winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.40
1.77Avg goals scored1.40
1.26Avg goals conceded2.21
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.4

Bahia xG

Expected goals

1.3

Coritiba xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

8%

2–1

7%

4–1

7%

3–0

6%

2–0

5%

3–2

5%

Home

Bahia

Bahia

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bahia vs Coritiba?

Bahia is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bahia's current form?

Bahia have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bahia Win76%
Draw12%
Coritiba Win12%
BTTS70%
Over 2.585%