Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.4
Bahia xG
Expected goals
1.3
Coritiba xG
70%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
8%
2–1
7%
4–1
7%
3–0
6%
2–0
5%
3–2
5%
Home
Bahia
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Coritiba
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bahia vs Coritiba?
Bahia is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bahia's current form?
Bahia have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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