Match Analysis

BahiavsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
21%
61%
Bahia winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.60
1.77Avg goals scored2.13
1.26Avg goals conceded0.64
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Bahia xG

Expected goals

2

Flamengo xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

10%

0–2

10%

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Bahia

Bahia

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bahia vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bahia's current form?

Bahia have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bahia Win18%
Draw21%
Flamengo Win61%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%