Botafogovs
Atlético-MG
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Botafogo xG
Expected goals
1.7
Atlético-MG xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
15%
0–2
13%
1–1
11%
0–0
9%
1–2
9%
0–3
7%
Home
Botafogo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Atlético-MG
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Atlético-MG?
Atlético-MG is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Botafogo's current form?
Botafogo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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