Match Analysis

BotafogovsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
24%
54%
Botafogo winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
0.93Avg goals scored1.47
1.52Avg goals conceded1.22
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.7

Bahia xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

11%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Bahia?

Bahia is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win22%
Draw24%
Bahia Win54%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%