Match Analysis

BotafogovsChapecoense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
24%
25%
Botafogo winDrawChapecoense win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
0.93Avg goals scored0.98
1.52Avg goals conceded2.10
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.1

Chapecoense xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

0–1

7%

0–0

6%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Chapecoense?

Botafogo is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win51%
Draw24%
Chapecoense Win25%
BTTS55%
Over 2.553%