Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Botafogo xG
Expected goals
1.1
Grêmio xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
0–1
12%
1–0
12%
0–0
11%
0–2
7%
1–2
7%
Home
Botafogo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Grêmio
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Grêmio?
Botafogo is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Botafogo's current form?
Botafogo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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