Match Analysis

BotafogovsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
29%
35%
Botafogo winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.40
0.93Avg goals scored0.98
1.52Avg goals conceded1.40
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.1

Grêmio xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

1–0

12%

0–0

11%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Grêmio?

Botafogo is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win36%
Draw29%
Grêmio Win35%
BTTS45%
Over 2.538%