Match Analysis

BotafogovsSão Paulo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
31%
32%
Botafogo winDrawSão Paulo win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
0.93Avg goals scored0.84
1.52Avg goals conceded1.30
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1

São Paulo xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

0–1

12%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

São Paulo

São Paulo

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs São Paulo?

Botafogo is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win37%
Draw31%
São Paulo Win32%
BTTS42%
Over 2.535%