Match Analysis

ChapecoensevsCruzeiro

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

8%
12%
80%
Chapecoense winDrawCruzeiro win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.98Avg goals scored1.93
2.10Avg goals conceded1.07
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Chapecoense xG

Expected goals

3.1

Cruzeiro xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

0–3

9%

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–4

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro?

Cruzeiro is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chapecoense's current form?

Chapecoense have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chapecoense Win8%
Draw12%
Cruzeiro Win80%
BTTS57%
Over 2.576%