Match Analysis

ChapecoensevsFluminense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
16%
70%
Chapecoense winDrawFluminense win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
0.98Avg goals scored1.76
2.10Avg goals conceded1.41
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Chapecoense xG

Expected goals

2.8

Fluminense xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–2

7%

0–3

7%

1–1

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Fluminense

Fluminense

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Fluminense?

Fluminense is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chapecoense's current form?

Chapecoense have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chapecoense Win14%
Draw16%
Fluminense Win70%
BTTS66%
Over 2.576%