Match Analysis

ChapecoensevsInternacional

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
23%
53%
Chapecoense winDrawInternacional win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
0.98Avg goals scored1.16
2.10Avg goals conceded1.35
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Chapecoense xG

Expected goals

1.8

Internacional xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

0–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–2

9%

0–0

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Internacional

Internacional

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Internacional?

Internacional is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chapecoense's current form?

Chapecoense have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chapecoense Win24%
Draw23%
Internacional Win53%
BTTS56%
Over 2.555%