Match Analysis

ChapecoensevsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
21%
57%
Chapecoense winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
0.98Avg goals scored1.32
2.10Avg goals conceded1.47
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Chapecoense xG

Expected goals

2.1

Mirassol xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Mirassol?

Mirassol is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chapecoense's current form?

Chapecoense have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chapecoense Win22%
Draw21%
Mirassol Win57%
BTTS64%
Over 2.566%