Match Analysis

ChapecoensevsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
15%
78%
Chapecoense winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
0.98Avg goals scored1.49
2.10Avg goals conceded0.67
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Chapecoense xG

Expected goals

2.4

Palmeiras xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

14%

0–1

12%

0–3

11%

1–2

9%

0–4

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chapecoense's current form?

Chapecoense have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chapecoense Win7%
Draw15%
Palmeiras Win78%
BTTS41%
Over 2.558%