Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsBotafogo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
27%
32%
Corinthians winDrawBotafogo win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.20
1.02Avg goals scored0.93
1.65Avg goals conceded1.52
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

1.2

Botafogo xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Botafogo?

Corinthians is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win41%
Draw27%
Botafogo Win32%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%